The aluminium market in 2025 has displayed significant activity, shaped by a mix of global economic and geopolitical factors. Here’s a clear look at the current trends and insights:
Current Price Levels
As of June 2025, global aluminium prices have stabilized in the range of $2,450–$2,700 per metric ton, maintaining a relatively steady trajectory since late 2024. This contrasts with the sharper swings seen in other base metals, driven by factors like energy costs and trade policies.
Regional Price Variations
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United States: In Q2 2025, aluminium prices averaged $2,580 per metric ton, influenced by higher domestic production and shifts in import/export tariffs.
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China: Prices stood at $2,320 per metric ton in Q1 2025, reflecting moderated demand growth and regulatory adjustments in the aluminium sector.
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India: Prices reached $2,495 per metric ton in June 2025, driven by rising domestic consumption and favorable supply conditions.
For a deeper understanding, platforms like Procurement Resource provide detailed historical charts, regional breakdowns, and weekly price movements, offering a comprehensive view of market dynamics.
Future Outlook
Industry analysts forecast a gradual moderation in aluminium prices over the coming years. S&P Global Market Intelligence projects an average global price of $2,500 per metric ton in 2025, potentially easing to around $2,250 per metric ton by 2029, largely due to expanding production capacity and increased recycling initiatives.
Market Influencers
Several key factors are shaping the aluminium market today:
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Supply Dynamics: Major producers, including Rusal and Alcoa, are investing in plant expansions and technology upgrades to sustain output levels. For example, Rusal’s $500 million investment in modernising its Siberian smelters aims to maintain annual production above 3 million tonnes.
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Demand Fluctuations: Aluminium demand in China slowed slightly in Q1 2025, mainly due to temporary disruptions in construction and automotive sectors rather than a long-term decline.
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Trade Policies: Tariffs and export restrictions, particularly in North America and Europe, continue to influence international price movements.
For stakeholders looking for granular insights like week-by-week price tracking, supply chain analysis, and procurement strategies, the Aluminium Price Trend section on Procurement Resource is an excellent source of updated, reliable data.
Conclusion
The aluminium market in 2025 reflects a dynamic interplay of supply, demand, and policy factors. Accessing detailed historical data and trend analysis, such as that available on Procurement Resource, can help businesses and investors make informed decisions in this evolving market landscape.